Reform is on course to WIN next General Election, new poll shows – as Nigel Farage’s party takes nine-point lead over Labour

Reform UK is now on course to win the next General Election, a shock new poll shows – as they take a stunning nine-point lead over Labour.

The voting intention for Nigel Farage‘s party’s was more than double that of the Tories, who languished in third with 15 per cent, compared to Labour’s 25 per cent and Reform’s 34 per cent. 

An Ipsos opinion poll highlighted the rocketing success of the party and rising contempt for Keir Starmer and Rachel Reeves‘ chaotic first year in power.

Replicated in a General Election, the figures would give Reform an overwhelming 400 seats in the Commons – with a majority of 200, The Telegraph reports.

Figures show that 54 per cent of Labour voters and 48 per cent of Tory voters have changed their support – with a high proportion of defectors from both going to Reform. 

Farage would become Prime Minister and there would be just 10 Conservative seats, while Labour would be reduced from 403 to 140. 

‘This poll shows Reform can and will win the next general election,’ Farage told the broadsheet. 

The voting intention for Nigel Farage 's party's was more than double that of the Tories , who languished in third with 15 per cent, compared to Labour's 25 per cent and Reform's 34 per cent. Pictured: At Ascot

The voting intention for Nigel Farage ‘s party’s was more than double that of the Tories , who languished in third with 15 per cent, compared to Labour’s 25 per cent and Reform’s 34 per cent. Pictured: At Ascot

Farage would become Prime Minister and there would be just 10 Conservative seats, while Labour would be reduced from 403 to 140. Pictured: At Ascot

Farage would become Prime Minister and there would be just 10 Conservative seats, while Labour would be reduced from 403 to 140. Pictured: At Ascot

Just 19 per cent say they are satisified with the work Starmer is doing - while 73 per cent are dissatisfied
The Conservatives' polling is also the worst since records began, with only 11 per cent of voters satisfied with Kemi Badenoch's work

Just 19 per cent say they are satisified with the work Starmer (left) is doing – while 73 per cent are dissatisfied. The Conservatives’ polling is also the worst since records began, with only 11 per cent of voters satisfied with Kemi Badenoch’s (right) work

Figures from the polling of 1,180 Brits show Labour’s plunging popularity, after winning the 2024 General Election with the biggest majority since Tony Blair.

But figures now show him to be the least popular prime minister at this stage of his time in office since records began.

Just 19 per cent say they are satisified with the work he is doing – while 73 per cent are dissatisfied. 

In comparison, after the same amount of time Boris Johnson had an approval raiting of 48 per cent, Blair’s was 68 per cent and John Major’s was 54 per cent.

The Conservatives’ polling is also the worst since records began, with only 11 per cent of voters satisfied with Kemi Badenoch’s work. 

Gideon Skinner, senior director of UK politics at Ipsos, told The Telegraph: ‘Reform UK has continued to build on its success, helped by high levels of enthusiasm among its own support and among working-class voters in particular, and taking votes from both Labour and especially the Conservatives, who show little sign of recovery.

‘The disappointment with Labour is clear, even among those who voted for the party in 2024.’

It comes after the public swing of support tp Reform was dramatically shown in the local elections, scoring victory in a Runcorn by-election on the same night.

In a night of jaw-dropping results, Reform UK claimed outright majorities in Staffordshire and Lincolnshire County Councils, toppling long-standing Conservative dominance. 



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