THE PREMIER League is the most-watched domestic football league in the world.
With iconic clubs like Liverpool, Manchester City, Manchester United, Chelsea, and Arsenal, and some of the biggest stars in world football, it draws massive global audiences every week.
Liverpool are the defending champions and the betting favourites to win again in the latest Premier League winner odds.
Arne Slot’s team have strengthened their squad with some big-money summer signings, but that doesn’t guarantee success.
The Reds were the third favourites last season behind Manchester City and Arsenal. However, City struggled and Arsenal focused more on the Champions League – leaving Liverpool to upset the odds and claim the title.
Here we look at what will happen this season. Our focus in this article is on the Premier League title race, but don’t forget the best football betting sites also offer odds on a whole host of different markets, including who will finish in the top four, be the top goalscorer, and also who will take the dreaded drop to the Championship.
Have the bookies got their Premier League winner odds right this season? Let’s take a closer look.
Quick tips for the 2025/26 Premier League title winner and best bets
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Current Premier League standings
The Premier League campaign gets underway in August, with last season’s top four most favoured by the bookies. Liverpool will start the season as favourites, closely followed by Man City, Arsenal and Chelsea.
The defending champions: Liverpool
Liverpool won the title in 2024/25 at a canter. The Reds finished ten points clear of Arsenal in second place and 13 points ahead of Manchester City in third.
Arne Slot basically won the title with the squad of players he inherited from previous boss Jurgen Klopp. The Dutchman made a few tactical tweaks here and there – making the Reds harder to score against, and also freeing up Mohamed Salah to have arguably his best ever season at Anfield – but by and large, it was Klopp’s team.
However, this season promises to be different at Anfield. The Reds have brought in Florian Wirtz, Hugo Ekitike, Jeremie Frimpong and Milos Kerkez, and this is now Arne Slot’s team.
The arrival of Florian Wirtz is a statement signing. But will Wirtz slot seamlessly into the tried and tested Liverpool system, or will the team be totally restructured around the German? If it’s the latter, it may be a season of transition at Anfield.
The chasing pack: Arsenal & Manchester City
Arsenal and Manchester City are the early second and third betting favourites.
Arsenal fell away at the back end of the 2024/25 season, effectively gifting the title to Liverpool as the Gunners decided to focus their resources on the Champions League.
As a result, Arsenal did come in for some criticism, with boss Mikel Arteta also coming under fire from sections of the crowd and media for his failure to sign a top quality striker in the previous summer and January transfer windows.
The Gunners have rectified that this year. The big money signing of former Coventry City and Sporting Lisbon striker Viktor Gyökeres means there can be no excuses for Arsenal now.
They have the striker they need, and along with the equally important signing of Martín Zubimendi in midfield, the Gunners now look to have a squad capable of winning the Premier League.
Manchester City’s fall from grace last season was both spectacular and unexpected. To help arrest the slide, City have made significant changes to their playing squad.
Big money summer arrivals include Rayan Cherki, Tijjani Reijnders, James Trafford and Rayan Ait-Nouri. Exits that confirm the changing of the guard include Kyle Walker and Kevin De Bruyne.
City will also have Rodri back after the influential midfielder missed most of last season. Having the Spaniard back will feel like a new signing and should have a major impact on the team.
Furthermore, if Omar Marmoush can continue to build on his impressive start to life at the Etihad, City might be able to put together a stronger title challenge this time around.
Can anyone else challenge?
It will be interesting to see if anyone else can gatecrash the Premier League party and challenge last season’s top three. Below, we take a closer look at the three teams most likely to challenge the domination of Liverpool, Arsenal and Manchester City at the top.
Chelsea
A bright start to the 2024/25 season saw Enzo Maresca’s Chelsea become one of the betting favourites to win the Premier League. However, a post Christmas slump in their away form saw the Blues fall away, and towards the end of the campaign, Maresca’s job was up for debate.
After landing a top four finish and the Europa Conference League title, the club backed Maresca, and with Chelsea’s remarkable FIFA Club World Cup win, they were immediately rewarded.
Chelsea have also been busy in the transfer market. Included in their summer haul are strikers Liam Delap from Ipswich and João Pedro from Brighton. The two will offer Maresca plenty of variation in attack and will make Chelsea harder to predict and play against. They could be the game changers Chelsea need.
The Blues have a very young and inexperienced squad. They look to be growing for the future. The long grind of a Premier League campaign caught them out in 2024/25, and they are probably still not quite ready to mount a title challenge just yet.
Newcastle United
Newcastle had a great 2024/25 season, winning the Carabao Cup and also finishing fifth in the table, giving them qualification for this season’s Champions League.
There does seem to be trouble ahead for the Toon Army and Eddie Howe. The club are hamstrung by FFP and are unable to compete with the likes of Liverpool, Man City, Arsenal and Chelsea in the transfer market.
Newcastle seem to be relying on Howe to keep performing miracles. A lot of his playing squad are players for the future, and if they remain patient, there could be good times ahead. However, combining the Premier League with the rigours of the Champions League could see the Magpies struggle. A finish outside of the top four looks the most likely.
Manchester United
Manchester United surely can’t be as bad again this season as they were last. The Red Devils probably finished lower than they needed to, as they did the same as Spurs in the Europa League and Arsenal in the Champions League, by focusing all their resources on their European campaign.
Boss Ruben Amorim now has a preseason behind him. He is also ridding the club of players that haven’t bought into his philosophy, and has made two top-quality additions in Matheus Cunha and Bryan Mbeumo.
We have seen plenty of so-called game-changing transfers arrive at Old Trafford in recent years, only for them to perform as badly as the players they were bought to replace. If Matheus Cunha and Bryan Mbeumo follow the same path, it will only reinforce the belief that Manchester United’s issues run far deeper than what is happening on the pitch.
My Premier League title betting tips
We’ve looked in detail at some of the teams likely to be in the race to land the Premier League title in 2025/26. Now it’s time for my betting tips:
My Premier League tricast
One of the best bookies for Premier League betting is bet365, and they currently offering a Premier League tricast market. This is a bet where you predict who will finish in the top three of the Premier League, and in the correct order.
It’s a win-only bet, but with such long odds available, we are in a position to hedge our bets and make more than one selection.
For me, Arsenal look to have the more settled starting eleven and playing squad this year. The arrivals of Martín Zubimendi and Viktor Gyökeres will make the Gunners stronger, and they are my pick to win the title.
Yes, Liverpool have made some exceptional signings, but I’m wondering if Arne Slot is tinkering too much with a winning formula, so I can’t back them to retain the title. However, I do see the Reds finishing second.
The third selection in my Premier League tricast bet is Manchester City. Pep Guardiola will have Rodri back and City should still have enough quality to finish in the top three in what should be a competitive Premier League season.
One final prediction is Chelsea. The Blues have grown in stature since the end of last season. The London club could well be in the mix, and they are an alternative to finishing third to Manchester City.
Arsenal/Liverpool/Man City is 16/1, and Arsenal/Liverpool/Chelsea is 33/1. A bet on both will see a nice payday if either selection wins. Such is the length of the odds, you can throw in a couple more selections of your own and still get a nice payday if one of the wagers is successful.
➡️ Pick the Arsenal/Liverpool/Chelsea tricast at 33/1 with bet365
Top on Christmas Day
While the Premier League may not pause for Christmas like some other European leagues, where teams sit – at both ends of the table – at the start of the festive period is still usually a strong indicator of where they’ll end up come May.
Historically, very few teams have survived the drop having propped up the table on Christmas Day and, throughout the 2010s and the start of the 2020s, the team who has topped the tree has more often than not stayed there. Liverpool led the way in the 2013/14, 2018/19 and 2020/21 seasons but were eventually caught by Manchester City on all three occasions. Similarly, Arsenal were unable to fend off Pep Guardiola’s side in both 2022/23 and 2023/24.
Liverpool are this year’s title favourites, and are therefore the shortest price in this market too, but it is expected to be a much closer fight this time. Also, unlike last season, Arne Slot will be bedding in several new signings – especially at the top end of the pitch. It’s by no means a given that Florian Wirtz and Hugo Ekitike will be able to quickly adapt from Bundesliga to Premier League football. Arsenal’s long-awaited striker signing, Viktor Gyökeres is, however, already well-versed in the English game having starred for Coventry City in the Championship prior to moving to Portugal. I’m backing him to hit the ground running quickly while Liverpool attempt to figure out how Salah and Wirtz will fit in the same team.
➡️ Pick Arsenal to top the Premier League table on Christmas Day at 12/5 with SBK
Best in the North West
If the Gunners are able to end what will be a 22-year wait for a Premier League title, it’ll likely be a team from the North West finishing second.
Even with Rodri returning, Manchester City feel like a team in rebuild mode and their performance at the Club World Cup shows that they’re still some way off where they were a couple of years ago. Cherki, Reijnders and Aït-Nouri are exciting signings but they shouldn’t be expected to immediately bring what City had in De Bruyne and Walker in those all-conquering teams of the past 5-10 years.
The core of Liverpool’s title-winning team is still very much in place – when you’ve got Alisson in goal, Virgil van Dijk at the heart of defence and Mo Salah making goal contributions almost every week, you’ll always be in the conversation for the Premier League title.
➡️ Select Liverpool to be the highest-finishing North West club at 13/20 with BetMGM
Important dates in the 2025/26 Premier League title race
The Premier League title has been decided by margins of ten, two, five and one point in recent years. In the years where the margin was small, the head-to-head showdowns between the top two teams have often been where the destination of the title was decided.
Significant dates for your diary this year are August 31st for Liverpool vs Arsenal and January 7th, 2026, for the return fixture. Man City will entertain Liverpool on November 8th, with Anfield hosting Pep’s men on February 7th, 2026. Arsenal and City will clash at the Emirates on September 21st and again at the Etihad on April 18th, 2026.
All six fixtures promise to be pivotal in the destination of the title, and all will have an impact on the latest Premier League outright winner odds. The Liverpool vs Arsenal showdown at the end of August already looks like a huge clash that could set the tone for the season ahead.
However, run-ins at the end of the season can also go a long way to deciding who tops the table. Arsenal look to have the more favourable, with matches against Fulham (H), West Ham (A), Burnley (H), and Crystal Palace (A), while Liverpool may struggle as they have to face Man Utd (A), Chelsea (H), Aston Villa (A) and Brentford (H).
How to follow the latest Premier League news and results
It’s important to keep up to date with all the latest football news if you are betting on the Premier League title race. You will find all the information you need to keep you up to speed with the latest goings on here at The Sun.
For long-term markets, such as the title winner or top four, keeping an eye on the fixture list can really help. Knowing which teams have tough or favourable runs coming up can help you make more informed decisions on the bets you place.
Premier League 2025/26 FAQs
For more help with your 2025/26 Premier League betting, we have put together an informative FAQ section:
1. How many wins and points will a Premier League champion typically need?
Roughly 85-90 points should be enough to win the Premier League, with 26 to 28 wins required to hit that target. Liverpool won the title with 84 points (25 wins) last season. However, in the 2023/24 season, Man City won the title with 91 points, with Arsenal finishing second on 89 – with City and Arsenal both winning 28 matches.
2. How often do teams retain the Premier League title?
It is not easy for teams to retain the Premier League title. Manchester United and Chelsea managed it in the early 2000s, with only Manchester City able to achieve it since. City went back-to-back in 2017/18 and 2018/19, and they also won four in a row from the 2020/21 season to 2023/24. Such a record of domination is extremely rare.
3. Does the Premier League title race often go to the final day?
The first Premier League campaign was the 1992/93 season, and the title has been decided on the final day ten times since its inauguration. Manchester City’s 2012 “Sergio Agüero moment” remains the most famous Premier League final-day ending of all.
4. Which team has overcome the longest odds to win the Premier League title?
Leicester City won the Premier League title from odds of 5000/1 in the 2015/16 season. The Foxes were expected to be in the relegation dogfight, but stunned the world of football by going the distance and winning their first ever top-flight title under Claudio Ranieri.
About the author
Craig Mahood
Craig Mahood is an expert in sports betting and online casinos and has worked with the company since 2020. He joined the Betting & Gaming team at The Sun in June 2022 and works closely with the leading bookmakers and online gaming companies to provide content on all areas of sports betting and gaming. He previously worked as a Digital Sports Reporter at the Scottish Sun, covering Scottish football with particular focus on Celtic and Rangers, As well as football, he has covered horse racing, boxing, darts, the Olympics and tennis for the Sun.
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