Canelo Álvarez vs Terence Crawford: Tips, odds, and betting predictions

THE BIGGEST fight of the year takes place this weekend as Canelo Álvarez vs Terence Crawford emanates live from the Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, Nevada.

The fight pits two of the world’s best pound-for-pound boxers against one another, with Terence Crawford jumping up two weight classes to make this dream match a reality. Let’s take a look at how the bookies think this will play out and provide some of our own picks in this Canelo Alvarez vs Terence Crawford betting tips and odds preview. 

Canelo Álvarez vs Terence Crawford odds 

Given his weight difference and experience, it is not surprising to see SBK and other top sports betting sites pricing Canelo Alvarez as the favourite ahead of this weekend’s fight. He is currently available at 5/8, with Terence Crawford at 9/5.  

  • Canelo Álvarez to win – 5/8
  • Terence Crawford to win – 9/5
  • Draw – 33/2

Canelo Álvarez vs Terence Crawford fight outcome odds

Alavarez is the favourite for the fight across the board, with an Alvarez win on points being the most favoured outcome among top UK bookmakers. Let’s look at how they price up every other finish. 

  • Canelo Álvarez to win on Points – 6/5
  • Canelo Álvarez to win by KO/TKO/DQ/Technical Decision – 10/3
  • Terence Crawford to win on Points – 2/1
  • Terence Crawford to win by KO/TKO/DQ/Technical Decision  – 9/1

Canelo Álvarez: Expectations and recent form

Canelo is one of the most experienced fighters in the world, and while he is actually two years younger than his opponent in Vegas, he will be considered the veteran in this fight, given his experience in the weight class. He is unbeaten at super-middlweight.

However, there will be some questions about whether he is slowing down somewhat. His last three fights against William Scull, Edgar Berlanga, and Jaime Munugia saw him take a more cautious approach in the ring. However, there is also an argument to be made that these were not the most inspiring of opponents, with many believing we will see him back to his best at the Allegiant. 

Stats:

  • Age: 35
  • Height: 5’7in
  • Weight: 167lbs (Last fight)  
  • Record: 63-2-2

Terence Crawford: Expectations and recent form

Crawford is widely regarded by many as the pound-for-pound number one in the world, and nothing would prove that more than if he defeats Canelo. Crawford has stepped up two weight classes for this fight.

He had a dominant record at welterweight and proved himself with an impressive performance against Israil Madrimov at light middleweight last year, but a jump up two weight classes is going to be a big ask. Crawford is undoubtedly the more explosive of the two fighters, boasting a 41-0-0 unbeaten record with 31 stoppages. 

Stats:

  • Age: 37
  • Height: 5’8in
  • Weight: 153.4lbs (Last fight) 
  • Record: 41-0-0

🥊 Canelo Álvarez vs Terence Crawford betting tips

This weekend’s fight is undoubtedly the most anticipated showdown of the year, and the bookies are keeping their cards close to their chest with the odds. The following are our three Canelo vs Terence Crawford 

Canelo Alvarez by decision

Alvarez is the natural fighter at this weight class, and that is going to be a massive advantage on Saturday night. Canelo and Crawford are two of the most technically talented fighters in the world, and the fight is certainly going to be one for the purest.

We have seen Canelo expertly pick off his opponents throughout his career, and while Crawford has not shown any weaknesses in the ring, the jump in weight and Canelo’s ability to score points in later rounds will be the difference makers. At 6/5 with Betfred, we recommend backing Alvarez to win by decision. 

➡️ Pick Canelo Alvarez to win by Decision at 6/5 with Betfred

Over 0.5 knockdowns

Crawford and Canelo are both very analytical fighters, and seeing them come face-to-face is sure to be fascinating. Crawford has secured knockdowns or a stoppage victory in each of his last four fights, while Canelo scored knockdowns in four of his last five fights.

Crawford has never been knocked down, but he has also not faced anyone as big as Canelo, and if he can land a clean punch, then there is a chance we see a career-first here. You can back over 0.5 knockdowns at 6/5 with BetMGM. 

➡️ Bet on over 0.5 knockdowns at 6/5 with BetMGM

Terence Crawford to win by KO/TKO/DQ 

If you’re looking for a long-shot bet this weekend, then consider looking at Crawford to win via KO/TKO/DQ at 23/2 with SBK. ‘Bud’ has an excellent stoppage record, winning 31 of his 41 victories by stopping his opponent. Canelo’s critics will argue that he has looked poor and uninspired in some of his recent efforts, whereas Crawford has looked deadly.

This weekend is his chance to cement his position as the pound-for-pound best in the world, and knocking out Alvarez would certainly achieve that. At 23/2 with SBK, there is value here if you want an outside bet. 

➡️ Tip Terence Crawford to win by KO/TKO/DQ at 23/2 with SBK

📺 How to watch Canelo Álvarez vs Terence Crawford

Canelo Alvarez vs Terence Crawford will take place in Las Vegas, Nevada, with the fight being broadcast live on Netflix in the UK in the early hours of Sunday morning. Coverage of the event will start on Saturday night, with Netflix subscription packages starting at £5.99 a month. 

  • Location: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, Nevada 
  • Date and time: Sunday 14th September (Sat 13th, US time) Ring walk: 2am 
  • How to watch: Netflix

🏟️ Canelo Álvarez vs Terence Crawford undercard

Boxing fans are in for a treat this weekend, with the Canelo vs Crawford fight boasting a packed undercard. The co-main event sees Callum Walsh go face-to-face with Fernando Vargas Jr. Both fighters are unbeaten, but Walsh is the favourite, with bet365 pricing him at 5/17 and Vargas Jr. at 5/2

Christina Mbilli and Lester Martinez will also square off, with Mbilli putting his title on the line against the unbeaten Lester Martinez. The champ is the narrow favourite, with BetMGM pricing him at 13/25 and Martinez out at 31/20. This one has the potential to be the fight of the night. 

Finally, Saudi Arabian star Mohammed Alakel comes up against Travis Kent Crawford. This is just another showcase for Alakel, who has yet to really be tested. He is the heavy favourite at 1/12 with BetMGM, with Crawford at 17/2

About the author

Craig Mahood

Craig Mahood is an expert in sports betting and online casinos and has worked with the company since 2020. He joined the Betting & Gaming team at The Sun in June 2022 and works closely with the leading bookmakers and online gaming companies to provide content on all areas of sports betting and gaming. He previously worked as a Digital Sports Reporter at the Scottish Sun, covering Scottish football with particular focus on Celtic and Rangers, As well as football, he has covered horse racing, boxing, darts, the Olympics and tennis for the Sun.

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